Trump's Tariff Pause Ignites US Stock Rally, Boosts Dollar and Market Confidence

WTS Capital
July 15, 2025

U.S. stock markets experienced a dramatic surge today, with the S&P 500 recording its largest one-day gain since 2008, following President Donald Trump's unexpected announcement of a 90-day pause on tariffs. This move provided significant relief to investors, boosting the dollar and calming fears of an impending recession fueled by escalating trade tensions.

Market Reacts to Tariff Pause

The announcement by President Trump, coming after days of market turmoil, triggered an immediate and substantial rally across U.S. equities. The S&P 500 soared 9.5%, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped an impressive 12.2%, marking its second-biggest one-day gain on record. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also saw a significant rise of 7.87%.

  • S&P 500: Up 9.52% to 5,456.90
  • Nasdaq Composite: Up 12.16% to 17,124.97
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Up 7.87% to 40,608.45

This sudden reversal in market sentiment highlights the profound impact of tariff policies on investor confidence. "This is the pivotal moment we've been waiting for," stated Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management Group. "The timing couldn’t be better, coinciding with the start of earnings season."

Dollar Strengthens, Treasuries Recover

The U.S. dollar, which had been under pressure, gained against a basket of currencies, with the dollar index rising 0.25% to 103.03. Against the Japanese yen, the dollar strengthened by 1.04%, and by 1.01% against the Swiss franc. U.S. Treasury prices also pared earlier losses, with strong demand seen in an afternoon auction of 10-year notes. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose 6.8 basis points to 4.328%.

Lingering Uncertainty and Upcoming Earnings

Despite the immediate relief, uncertainty persists regarding the long-term tariff strategy. Bolvin cautioned, "Uncertainty looms over what happens after the 90-day period, leaving investors to grapple with potential volatility ahead." The upcoming U.S. quarterly reporting period, with major banks like JPMorgan Chase set to report results, will offer crucial insights into the health of corporate America amidst this evolving trade landscape.

Broader Market Impact

The positive sentiment extended beyond equities and currencies. Oil prices also saw a significant jump, with Brent futures rising 4.23% to settle at $65.48 a barrel and U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures increasing 4.65% to $62.35. This broad market reaction underscores the interconnectedness of global financial markets and the profound influence of U.S. trade policy.

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